/ Reading: 2 min.

19. Feb.
/ Germany
Bye car, hello traffic turnaround!
The hours of motorised individual transport seem to be numbered - at least in the metropolises of this world! The recently published study "Mobility Futures" by the Kantar market research institute shows that by 2030 the proportion of car drivers in cities will fall from current 51% to 46%.

Logically, alternative means of transport such as bicycles, public transport or walking are also gaining momentum and will increase from 45% to 49% in the next ten years. 

The bicycle in particular seems to be gaining ground in urban areas. While the use of public transport will increase by 6% in the expected development, a whole 18% more city dwellers will be cycling by 2030 according to the study. For the cities, this means in reverse: a cyclist-friendly infrastructure, as it can already be found in Amsterdam, Copenhagen or Paris, for example, is needed! In order to achieve sustainable success in the transition from car to bicycle, such an infrastructure must take into account aspects of safety, availability and logistics.

Incidentally, the change in mobility will be particularly noticeable in the cities of Manchester, Moscow and Sao Paulo. Here, a particularly large number of city dwellers will switch from cars to more sustainable means of transport. The cities best prepared for the upcoming change are Amsterdam, London and Los Angeles.

In total all of the 31 surveyed cities face two fundamental challenges: While in Berlin, Amsterdam and New York, for example, it is primarily the citizens’ trust in the sustainable mobility concepts of their respective cities that is lacking, cities such as Moscow, Jakarta and Mumbai have completely different homework to do. Here, the citizens stand behind their city, but the city itself still has to do some homework to be prepared for the future of mobility.

The bottom line is that by 2030, almost 37 million people in cities worldwide will change their mobility behavior. A great prospect for more sustainable mobility and less traffic!

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Perspectives from Silke Höhl

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Silke Höhl is a PhD student at the Research Lab for Urban Transport (ReLUT) at the Frankfurt University of Applied Sciences. The construction and industrial engineer won the “Best Idea 2019” competition at the Allianz Pro Schiene Innovation Award 2019. Her concept: an innovative parcel delivery service. Hereby, the idea is not to create a new transport infrastructure, but to use public transport that is already well developed in the cities. The idea: underground and tramways take care of transporting the parcels to the city centres and a load wheel takes care of the last few kilometres to the front door.